I think because they are not all females. First winter birds, male and female, have the same dull colours as the adult female although there are probably some distinguishing features if you look closely enough. I don't have my books with me to comment on this bird.
The ratio of 'adult male' to 'other' on Po Toi is about 1 in 4. This is what you would expect if the 2 adults and 2 young from the year have survived to the winter. Is it the same ratio on Lamma?