I’m back from China, here are the answers and some graphs for other suggestions
1) Arctic Warbler (not split).
2) Pale-legged (and Sakhalin) Leaf Warbler
3) Dusky Warbler. Gary had Pallas’s Leaf Warbler, it’s interesting to look at this and compare the three, Dusky (number 3), Pallas’s (below) and Yellow-browed (number 5). Here is Pallas’s Leaf Warbler
Fewer in numbers than Dusky (3) and Yellow-browed (5) but more importantly, it doesn’t show such obvious migration peaks in either autumn or spring, unlike Dusky which shows a peak in autumn but not in spring, and Yellow-browed, which shows peaks in both autumn and spring. These results are reflected in the Avifauna graphs but I don’t know why these three species with apparently similar distributions should show such different timings – anyone offer any suggestions?
4) Two-barred (Greenish Warbler) – can be seen throughout the winter and spring but note the concentration of birds passing through in late October
5) Yellow-browed Warbler. Note the red dots showing numbers in early 2008. This was the coldest winter for 40 years with a very cold spell in late January/early February. Yellow-browed Warbler disappeared from Po Toi at this time, in fact I think all the birds died in the cold weather. Unlike both Dusky and Pallas’s which didn’t seem too much affected. Obviously more hardy species than Yellow-browed.
6) Ferruginous. A spring only species, genuinely rare in autumn. Avifauna lists two autumn records and there have been three since, including this one in 2008.
7) Dark-sided Flycatcher. An autumn only species, the last official spring record was in 1994. Ho Fai suggested another autumn species Yellow-rumped which is very close to Dark-sided, the graph is below, but usually finishes autumn migration by the end of September and second half October and November records are very rare. It also has three recent spring records (plus one in Avifauna), including this one in 2006
8) Mugimaki Flycatcher. John Holmes suggested Asian Paradise but that species is much earlier in autumn and rarer in spring. Here is Asian Paradise
9) Asian Brown Flycatcher
10) Narcissus Flycatcher – similar to Ferruginous but more regular in autumn in recent years, at least on Po Toi
Tie-breaker – Tree Sparrow, a migrant on Po Toi with no birds over the winter. Gary suggested Barn Swallow, which has a similar pattern but is earlier in spring with most records in March. Here is Barn Swallow
Here are graphs for some other species mentioned, Eastern Crowned Warbler (honestly)
Grey-streaked Flycatcher
and Chinese Sparrowhawk.
I’ve had to cut off the highest counts of the last species, which were 780 (16 April 2006), 53 (22 April 2009) and 1440 (15 April 2010), otherwise you couldn’t see the smaller numbers.
Prizes – well, John Allcock got them all right but he had a lot of help from earlier respondents so I’m going for the early birds, Gary Chow and John Holmes, as joint winners of the First Prize, a free night on Po Toi in January. In fact, it’s good to have two winners, what better way to keep warm on a cold winter’s night than sharing a bed. Just let me know which day you want to be there and I’ll make the arrangements.
‘Bird Brain of Po Toi’ – I think the title has to go to the one who correctly guessed the tie-breaker, bittern. So next year, you’ll have to follow the English proverb ‘Once bittern, twice shy’ (I've been wanting to say that for ages).
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Last edited by wgeoff at 28/12/2011 13:23 ]