Geoff,
Agreed. In this case it is hard to count how many new inner primaries are present as it is difficult to discern the individual feathers in the photo. However, the middle primaries can be identified by the extent of black on the tips. Heuglin's Gulls normally have the black across both inner and outer webs of the ends of the six outermost primaries from p10 to p5, with a final small black spot usually present on the outer part of p4 in fresh plumage but not across the full width of the feather.
In the photo, p4 with its small black spot appears fully grown, the adjacent p5 is 1/2 to 2/3 grown and, as you point out, the new p6 is not visible because it has only just started growing.
Whilst primary moult varies between individuals, it is a useful identification tool in early winter. In Hong Kong, Heuglin's Gulls have the latest primary moult, and for a large gull to have a moult score of only about half maximum by the end of November indicates it can only be Heuglin's [or a hybrid with some Heuglin's genes].
It would be useful if photographers could try and get photos of all adult large gulls this winter, either in flight or wing stretching, so that moult differences can be compared.
Mike